If Streams Became Votes, Finland Would Win Eurovision 2022

Sara Mekinc

May 13, 2022

To wrap up our Eurovision analysis (see also PART 1 and PART 2), we examined how the countries would vote for this year’s finalists if streams counted as votes.

Streaming popularity is a good indicator of where each contestant might place in the finals. 

Out of the 10 most-streamed entries in each Semi-Final, seven entries advanced in Semi-Final 1 and eight in Semi-Final 2.

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We sorted all the finalists according to their streaming numbers in individual participating countries and applied the Eurovision point system to each of them. In each country, the most-streamed entry would be awarded 12 points, the second most-streamed 10 points, and so on. The countries of course cannot vote for their own representative.

Here’s how the final results would look:

As expected, each country’s representative lands the most streams in their home country. What’s interesting, however, is that the Austrian entry (“Halo” by LUM!X feat. Pia Maria) enjoys the biggest popularity across participating countries and could be crowned this year’s “Spotify Winner”, but did not qualify for the Final.

This goes to show that while data can clearly evaluate hits, it cannot predict the future in full. The Grand Final will no doubt come with surprising twists and turns – after all, it’s the Eurovision.